If we look at the recent situation, it is not difficult to find that the South China Sea has once again become a focus of confrontation: the Philippines not only invited the US military to station in Thitu Island, but also forcibly invaded China’s Ren’ai Reef; The military confrontation on the island has escalated, and the Chinese Type 052D destroyer has arrived in the waters near Thitu Island. In the future, Japan and Australia may also join the US-Philippines in joint patrols in the South China Sea. It seems that this move by the Philippines has driven the surrounding anti-China groups.
Taiwan is also unlikely to be peaceful. At the behest of the Biden administration, the United States signed the ninth arms sales contract to Taiwan. The United States exported a large number of air-launched missiles to Taiwan, and will further upgrade its military trade in the future; Taiwan has the right to fire the first shot within the range of Taiwan’s “territorial sea” and “airspace”. It will also build a large ammunition depot in Taiwan to assist the US military in transferring ammunition stored in South Korea, Japan, and the Philippines. Taiwan is an inalienable part of China, so what about “territorial waters” and “airspace”?
Japan and South Korea are not at ease either. Japan has called out that “whatever happens to Taiwan is what happens to Japan.” In recent years, it has to stockpile 1,000 long-range cruise missiles in order to enhance its ability to counterattack China; relations and the restoration of the U.S.-Japan-South Korea military alliance. Against this background, the relationship between South Korea and North Korea has to become tense, and the two sides are quite tense.
Although there is currently no major conflict between China and India, this is always a dispute that is difficult to properly resolve. At the G20 Foreign Ministers Summit a few days ago, the Indian Foreign Minister said: India’s border claims need to be recognized, otherwise the Sino-Indian border will be restless and relations will not return to normal. India’s “border claim” is well known: China is required to compromise and cede part of its territory…
There are at least five potential wars around China. The pressure China is facing may be even greater than Russia: The Russia-Ukraine war was triggered by NATO’s continuous eastward expansion, which made Ukraine and other countries bordering Russia show signs of falling to the United States. But in any case, what Russia faces is only the west side of the country, while the war China faces may break out in multiple directions such as the southeast, northeast, and southwest of the country. The current situation is still very challenging.
Maybe the war will break out one day, but it is always good to actively prepare for the war: According to the lessons learned in the Russia-Ukraine War, advanced weapons and equipment must be hoarded in place before the war, and it is very likely that they will be attacked by multinationals during the war. comprehensive economic sanctions and cannot obtain a stable source of raw materials for production. Generally speaking, in modern warfare, it is easy to manufacture advanced weapons and equipment, but the raw materials required come from many suppliers, and even require transnational supply.
For example, in the latest round of air strikes recently launched by Russia against Ukraine, although Russia dispatched MiG-31K fighter jets to launch 6 “Dagger” hypersonic air-launched missiles, the combat effect was very good, hitting many targets at once, but overall Throughout the war, the Russian army launched a total of 4 “Dagger” air-launched missiles on the Russian-Ukrainian battlefield, and the total number of them was less than 10, which shows the shortage of weapons stocks. The role of hypersonic missiles is also very obvious. Ukraine has air defense missiles supported by the United States and NATO. There is still a success rate in intercepting cruise missiles, but it is still impossible to intercept hypersonic missiles. Even the advanced air defense systems of the United States and NATO, It is also unstoppable.
Based on recent information, the two 052DL-type destroyers newly built by China’s Dalian Shipyard are flying full flags and are about to launch into the water. In addition, there are three other destroyers in the dock. On the runway in the Chengfei Test Field and on the hangar next to it, there were at least five J-20 “yellow aircraft” ready for test flight. The advanced equipment of the navy and air force is mass-produced and updated, which is “visible”; but in the “invisible” direction, such as the mass production and storage of hypersonic missiles, more efforts are needed.
At present, China has at least four types of hypersonic missiles, namely the Dongfeng-17 hypersonic ballistic missile launched by the land-based missile launch vehicle, the Eagle-21 hypersonic missile launched by the sea-based missile vertical launcher, and the air-based H-21 hypersonic missile. The CH-AS-X-13 hypersonic missile launched by 6K, and the airborne hypersonic missile unveiled at the Zhuhai Air Show. All are currently installed and can be launched directly from each platform.
The Dongfeng-17 ballistic missile equipped by the Chinese Rocket Army is also a top priority. The Dongfeng-17 hypersonic ballistic missile is currently the only land-based hypersonic missile in China. There are a series of conventional ballistic missiles such as Dongfeng-11, Dongfeng-15, and Dongfeng-16. Most of the low-cost stock ammunition used has a range of less than 1,000 kilometers; but the reserves of these three missiles are at least thousands. In order to prepare for war in these five directions, it is quite necessary to replace it with Dongfeng-17 at a ratio of 1:1.
Since the Chinese Air Force has no platform capable of carrying and launching hypersonic missiles except for the H-6K/N strategic bomber, it needs to be used if military control is needed to deal with Japan and the US military bases in the first and second island chains. The means of air-launched missiles; considering that the CH-AS-X-13 hypersonic missile theoretically has the ability to carry a nuclear warhead for air-based nuclear strikes, and a H-6K/N can only carry one, conventional combat The internal strike effect is not significant, but the production cost of the bomb is quite high; therefore, China’s mass production focus should be similar to that of the Zhuhai Air Show where each H-6K/N can carry at least 2 hypersonic missiles.
The international situation is no longer optimistic. The power behind the five potential wars is the United States, who wants to force us to fight multi-front wars, otherwise we have to compromise. But how can we compromise? China is not afraid of war, and has the confidence to win: all kinds of advanced equipment must start the “violent soldier” mode, and we should start actively preparing for war at this time while the peace period is not over. While preparing for war, a certain amount of inventory is also required.